Philosophy without Psychology: a case of wishful thinking?
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Wishful Thinking
and we will write to you when there is a bed available yes I know it's painful, and six months is a long time to wait, but I am afraid we have already lost two wards this year because of the cuts. Mrs Thatcher keeps taking money away from us to spend on Trident Missiles Yes I wish you would write to your Member of Parliament about it. Hello Sister, is it tea time yet? Sister: Not yet I'm afraid...
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An experiment tested whether and in what circumstances people are more likely to believe an event simply because it makes them better off. Subjects observed a financial asset’s historical price chart, and received both an accuracy bonus for predicting the price at some future point, and an unconditional award that was either increasing or decreasing in this price. Despite incentives for hedging...
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ONE OF THE thorny problems of software development is accurately assessing progress and the cost remaining to completion. Without a good sense of where the project is and how far it still has to go, it’s just not possible to consistently manage people and resources well. And miscommunicating progress to stakeholders is among the surest ways to lose trust and buy-in. Despite a plethora of techno...
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As a supplement to our lead editorial, the editors of the new journal, Epidemiologic Perspectives & Innovations, provide a partial list of specific analyses and topic areas they would like to see submitted to the journal.
متن کاملA Bounded Rationality Account of Wishful Thinking
People tend towards wishful thinking, in which they overestimate the probability of favorable outcomes and underestimate the probability of unfavorable outcomes. Many explanations for this phenomenon focus on its irrationality. We explore whether wishful thinking could actually help people make better decisions given that they have limited cognitive resources. We consider a situation in which m...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Analiza i Egzystencja
سال: 2019
ISSN: 1734-9923,2300-7621
DOI: 10.18276/aie.2019.47-01